Heat pumps by province · checked October 19, 2026

Heat pumps in Manitoba

Manitoba homes need heat down to −31.3°C on a design day. At today's prices a cold-climate heat pump in Winnipeg delivers heat for about $14.86 a GJ, against $6.62 for a high-efficiency gas furnace.

A stucco bungalow on a frosty Prairie street, a pickup truck plugged in for its block heater
Design temperature −31.3°C Winnipeg
Cold-climate heat pump $14.86 per GJ Winnipeg, seasonal COP 2.0
Gas furnace (95%) $6.62 per GJ gas costs less to run here; a heat pump would need a seasonal COP of 4.5 to match it
Heat pump programs 3 of 3 open Amounts and equipment rules

Climate and sizing

A heat pump is sized to the design temperature: the cold that a home must handle on all but the coldest 1% of winter hours. Below that, most systems keep heating at reduced output, and a backup (electric strips or the old furnace) covers the gap. The seasonal COP is a planning value for the whole winter, backup and defrost included.

Heating climate by city in Manitoba
City Design temperature Heating degree days Nights below −20°C Seasonal COP, cold-climate Heat pump cost per GJ
Winnipeg −31.3°C 5,648 52.0 2.0 standard 1.7 $14.86

Design temperatures: HOT2000 weather files (NRCan). Degree days and cold nights: Environment and Climate Change Canada 1991–2020 normals. Seasonal COP: Seasonal COP for a whole heating season, including electric backup heat and defrost, for a heat pump sized for mild to cold weather. Planning values set slightly below modelled results (Dunsky/CCI 2024) because field studies (RDH for FortisBC; Yukon pilot) came in lower. Above 6,000 degree-days the values rest on one partial-season pilot in Whitehorse, so we use the low end of the band from 7,000 degree-days (Yellowknife).

What heat costs to run in Winnipeg

Cost per gigajoule of heat delivered into the house, at prices current on October 8, 2026, using the marginal price of electricity an electrically heated home pays in winter. A typical older house in a cold province uses 60 to 120 GJ of heat a year. Here a heat pump would need a seasonal COP above 4.5 to match a 95% gas furnace, so at these prices gas stays cheaper to run; the case for a heat pump rests on adding air conditioning, replacing an old furnace or AC, cutting emissions, or the rebates.

Delivered heat cost by fuel in Winnipeg
Heating system Cost per GJ of heat vs cheapest Based on
Natural gas furnace (95%) $6.62 cheapest 23.6¢ per m³
Cold-climate heat pump $14.86 +124% seasonal COP 2.0 for this climate
Standard heat pump $17.48 +164% seasonal COP 1.7
Electric baseboards or furnace $29.72 +349% 10.7¢ per kWh
Oil furnace (85%) $46.78 +606% $1.52 per litre, 12-month average

Prices and their sources are on our energy cost calculator, which works the numbers for your own home.

Heat pump rebates in Manitoba

Every heat pump program we found, with the equipment rule that decides which models qualify. Checked against each program's own page on October 19, 2026. Most rebates here use NRCan's Eligible Products List: check the exact pairing there before you sign.

Air Source Heat Pump Rebate

Open

Efficiency Manitoba

Heat pump amounts$2,000 for a centrally ducted cold-climate air-source heat pump; $1,500 for a ductless one. One rebate per home (the highest-value one if several units are installed).

Equipment ruleListed as a ccASHP on NRCan's Canada Greener Homes eligible product list; ENERGY STAR certified; HSPF2 Region V ≥ 6.6 and SEER2 ≥ 15.2; COP ≥ 1.8 at −15°C (5°F) at maximum capacity; heating capacity maintenance ≥ 70%; variable-capacity compressor (3+ speeds or continuously variable); outdoor, indoor and furnace units part of an AHRI matched system. Sizing: heat loss/gain calculation before installation; sized for up to 100% of the base building's unoccupied transmission and infiltration heating loads; the heat…

Other conditionsSupplementing electric resistance or natural gas heat (propane and fuel-oil conversions also eligible); primary (not seasonal) residence with Manitoba Hydro service; registered Efficiency Manitoba contractor submits within 90 days of installation; replacing an existing heat pump and new homes not eligible. Registered suppliers get a $100 bonus per application that includes an…

efficiencymb.ca ↗ · checked October 19, 2026

Ground Source Heat Pump Program (on-bill)

Open

Efficiency Manitoba with Manitoba Hydro

Heat pump amountsNo upfront cost, then an interest-free $75 a month for 15 years ($13,500) on the Manitoba Hydro bill; retrofit projects over $38,000, or replacement systems over $18,500, need an upfront contribution; the balance is due on sale or transfer.

Equipment ruleThe program page lists no equipment specification (no ENERGY STAR, CSA C448 or certification rule stated); registered Efficiency Manitoba contractor.

Other conditionsReplacing an electric furnace or boiler, electric baseboards or natural gas heat (fuel-oil conversions may qualify); primary residence; new homes eligible; replacing an existing ground-source system eligible (contact first); wait for email approval, then one year to install; Efficiency Manitoba pays the contractor after the completion declaration, permits and invoices.

efficiencymb.ca ↗ · checked October 19, 2026

Energy Efficiency Assistance Program (free heat pumps; Greener Homes Affordability partner)

Open

Efficiency Manitoba, with federal Canada Greener Homes Affordability Program funding

Heat pump amountsA free air-source or ground-source heat pump for qualifying homes. Separate offers: Red River Métis Citizens can get a free ground- or air-source heat pump; First Nation communities get enhanced heat pump rebates (Community Heat Pump Program).

Equipment ruleInstalled by a registered program contractor; no model list published on the page.

Other conditionsHomes with an electric furnace, baseboards or electric boiler; single-detached or semi-detached, lived in year-round; household income before deductions at or under $46,264 (1 person) to $122,432 (7+), with property value and assets possibly considered; owners and renters (landlords may apply, tenants sign consent); status First Nation band members may qualify without the…

efficiencymb.ca ↗ · checked October 19, 2026

Federal programs

National Heat Pump Rebate

Announced October 8, 2026 and opening early 2027: up to $10,000 below the median income, $2,000 for other eligible homeowners

Canada Greener Homes Affordability Program

Free retrofits for low-to-median-income households through provincial partners in BC, Manitoba, Newfoundland and Labrador, Nova Scotia, PEI and Quebec (Quebec's 2026–27 intake has closed) — not available in Ontario

Our full program guides

Efficiency Manitoba home rebates

NRCan's Eligible Products List ↗

Systems that suit Manitoba winters

The certified systems that heat most efficiently at −15°C (5°F) on current refrigerants, from ENERGY STAR's Canadian listings. Rows marked "Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds" are the ones to check on NRCan's list for the rebates here. With design temperatures near −31.3°C, ask for the maker's capacity tables below −15°C and plan the backup heat.

Mini-splits and multi-splits

Cold-climate mini-splits for Manitoba
Brand Outdoor / indoor model Size Heat at −15°C (5°F) COP at −15°C (5°F) HSPF2 SEER2 Refrigerant AHRI #
Midea M3O Series M3OX430-27HFN8-M1 Same ratings also listed as Innovair, Stelpro, Dettson and Ouellet 27,000 BTU/h 2.5-ton 21,400 BTU/h 79% of rated 2.80 10.0 22.5 R-32 ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 218461516
Fujitsu AIRSTAGE H-Series AOUH12KTAP1 ASUH12KTAS 15,300 BTU/h 1-ton 16,200 BTU/h 106% of rated 2.62 13.7 31.5 R-32 ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 216018256
Hitachi airCore700 PAS-18BUFASDQ1-LAC PCI-B18UFA1DQ 18,000 BTU/h 1.5-ton 15,000 BTU/h 83% of rated 2.60 11.0 27.0 R-32 ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 217450776
Hitachi airCore700 PAS-18BUFASDQ1 PCI-B18UFA1DQ 20,000 BTU/h 1.5-ton 16,200 BTU/h 81% of rated 2.60 11.0 25.0 R-32 ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 214723258
Carrier 45M Series 37MARAQ24AA3 45MAHAQ24XA3 Same ratings also listed as Bryant, Midea, Heil, Tempstar, Comfortmaker, KeepRite and other ICP brands, Payne and WeatherMaker, Kenmore, LPS Legacy, Smart Comfort 25,000 BTU/h 2-ton 19,600 BTU/h 78% of rated 2.54 11.7 23.1 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 215323752
Bosch BMS Series BMS500-AAS024-1CSXRD BMS500-AAU024-1AHWXD Same ratings also listed as Midea, Moovair, Innovair, Stelpro, Dettson and Ouellet, Cooper & Hunter, ACiQ, Blueridge, AC PRO, CanAir 25,000 BTU/h 2-ton 19,600 BTU/h 78% of rated 2.54 11.7 23.0 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 215223306
Fujitsu AIRSTAGE H-Series AOUH15KTAP1 ASUH15KTAS 17,400 BTU/h 1-ton 18,400 BTU/h 106% of rated 2.52 13.0 28.7 R-32 ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 216018257
AUX C-Series AFEB09HP115V1CO AFEB09HP115V1CH 9,700 BTU/h 1-ton 9,200 BTU/h 95% of rated 2.52 9.5 22.0 R-32 ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 214290017

Central systems, 2 tons and up

Cold-climate central heat pumps for Manitoba
Brand Outdoor / indoor model Size Heat at −15°C (5°F) COP at −15°C (5°F) HSPF2 SEER2 Refrigerant AHRI #
Samsung Hylex AC060FCUPCG FEMUU1A60S001R 56,000 BTU/h 4.5-ton 43,000 BTU/h 77% of rated 2.58 9.0 17.0 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate 217734250
Samsung Hylex AC048FCUPCG FEMTT7A60S001R 48,000 BTU/h 4-ton 40,500 BTU/h 84% of rated 2.52 8.5 16.5 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate 217734248
Hisense Hi-PRO HD AUWR-60U3TH5 AUH-48UX3TEH3 Same ratings also listed as Endura, Gridless, HAXXAIR, Multi MFG, SUM X, Voltas, Zephyr 48,000 BTU/h 4-ton 37,000 BTU/h 77% of rated 2.52 9.0 19.0 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 215270433
Midea MVB Series MOE30-36HFN10-M3X MVBDM-36HWFN10-WC3 36,000 BTU/h 3-ton 36,000 BTU/h 100% of rated 2.46 10.0 18.0 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 216967947
Hisense Hi-PRO HD AUWR-6024P AUH-6024 Same ratings also listed as Endura, Gridless, HAXXAIR, Multi MFG, SUM X, Voltas, Zephyr 57,000 BTU/h 5-ton 42,000 BTU/h 74% of rated 2.46 9.0 19.0 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 214855379
Armstrong Air, AirEase, Ducane and Concord A7CP21V SERIES A7CP21V36P-**A 7EH30BX-**+TDR Same ratings also listed as AC PRO 30,800 BTU/h 3-ton 22,600 BTU/h 73% of rated 2.44 8.5 17.5 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 217493329
Lennox Elite EL21KLV SERIES EL21KLV-036-230A** CK40HT-30B-**+TDR Same ratings also listed as GE Appliances and Haier 31,200 BTU/h 3-ton 22,800 BTU/h 73% of rated 2.44 9.4 19.0 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 217443321
Lennox DAVE LENNOX SIGNATURE SL22KLV SERIES SL22KLV-036-230A** CBK48MVT-060-230-** 32,600 BTU/h 3-ton 33,200 BTU/h 102% of rated 2.42 10.5 20.0 R-454B ENERGY STAR Cold Climate Meets NRCan's −15°C thresholds 216776011

Brands with the most rebate-ready models

Outdoor models whose ENERGY STAR ratings meet NRCan's −15°C thresholds, by brand. Each brand page has the warranty, lines and best models.

Brands by cold-climate model count
BrandMeet NRCan thresholdsAll certified modelsPrice tier
Midea 520 624 Mid-range
Gree 496 527 Mid-range
Innovair, Stelpro, Dettson and Ouellet 207 218 Mid-range
TCL 166 176 Not rated
Hisense 149 198 Mid-range
Mitsubishi Electric 145 231 Premium
Heil, Tempstar, Comfortmaker, KeepRite and other ICP brands 142 275 Budget to premium
Moovair 136 151 Mid-range
Comfort-Aire and Century 124 148 Mid-range
Bryant 119 219 Budget to premium
Carrier 119 201 Budget to premium
ACiQ 109 148 Budget

Compare every brand · All 42 brand pages and every certified name

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